摩根士丹利发布韩国消费行业研究,围绕核心议题与争论展开讨论。随着近期股市回调,投资者对高端消费前景趋于谨慎,此前高端消费曾受益于年初的财富效应;百货商店销售虽保持韧性,但同比增速放缓拖累股价表现。入境旅游改善使外国消费重新成为增长动力,但渠道已发生变化。投资者对必需消费/食品饮料的兴趣选择性回升,报告认为海外表现仍将是消费品牌股价的关键驱动,地域多元化或成为日益重要的主题,因海外市场渗透率仍处扩张阶段,长期可触达市场(TAM)空间持续扩大。
With the recent equity market correction, investors have grown more cautious about the outlook for high-end spending, which had previously benefited from wealth effects earlier this year. While department store sales have remained resilient, slowing YoY growth appears to have weighed on share price performance. Improving inbound tourism has also repositioned foreign spending as a growth driver, albeit through a different channel this time. Investor interest in staples/F&B names has rebounded selectively, and we think overseas performance will remain a key driver of share prices for consumer brands. Geographic diversification could become an increasingly important theme, as overseas market penetration remains at an expansion stage and their TAM opportunities continue to broaden over the long term.